Guardians at Angels
Last play · Christian Moore flies out sharply to left fielder Steven Kwan.
Win probability
Angels0%
CLE 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 1 LAA
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +131
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Hedges homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Angel Genao scores. (inning 6) — -24% Guardians
9Gustavo Campero out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Petey Halpin. Vaughn Grissom scores.4–2
6Austin Hedges homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Angel Genao scores.4–1
5Jo Adell singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Brayan Rocchio scores.2–1
4Moisés Ballesteros singles on a line drive to center fielder Petey Halpin. Zach Neto scores. Vaughn Grissom to 3rd.1–1
3Nathaniel Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mike Trout. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
