Royals at Angels
Last play · Mike Trout strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels0%
KC 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 0 LAA
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-117 / +109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Massey homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — -14% Royals
7Carter Jensen singles on a ground ball to second baseman Oswald Peraza. John Rave scores.3–0
5Bobby Witt Jr. homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
4Michael Massey homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
