Guardians at Angels
Last play · Adam Frazier strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels0%
CLE 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 5 – 6 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 9 ↓
fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 10) — -44% Guardians
10José Ramírez doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan scores.8–6
8José Ramírez doubles (22) on a line drive to left fielder Jose Siri. Steven Kwan scores.6–6
5Vaughn Grissom homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.5–6
5Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Petey Halpin scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.5–5
5Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Angel Martínez scores. Petey Halpin to 2nd.4–5
4José Ramírez doubles (21) on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Steven Kwan scores. Travis Bazzana scores.3–5
4Travis Bazzana doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Patrick Bailey scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd.1–5
2Zach Neto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Denzer Guzman scores.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
