Guardians at Angels
Last play · Oswald Peraza pops out to second baseman Travis Bazzana.
Win probability
Angels0%
CLE 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 3 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 9 ↓
fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steven Kwan hits a ground-rule double (16) on a fly ball to right field. Petey Halpin scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. (inning 9) — -38% Guardians
9Travis Bazzana out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Josh Lowe. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd.4–3
9Steven Kwan hits a ground-rule double (16) on a fly ball to right field. Petey Halpin scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.3–3
8Nathaniel Lowe singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jose Siri. Travis Bazzana scores. Jo Adell to 2nd.2–3
5Travis Bazzana out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jose Siri. Brayan Rocchio scores.1–3
2Mike Trout out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Steven Kwan. Denzer Guzman scores.0–3
2Zach Neto hit by pitch. Josh Lowe scores. Denzer Guzman to 3rd. Bryce Teodosio to 2nd.0–2
1Vaughn Grissom singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Joey Cantillo. Zach Neto scores. Throwing error by pitcher Joey Cantillo. Vaughn Grissom out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Jo Adell to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to third baseman Angel Genao.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
