Phillies at Angels
PHI5–
LAA2Last play · Vaughn Grissom strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Angels0%
PHI 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-161 / +150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edmundo Sosa homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — -26% Phillies
9Mike Trout doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Derek Hill. Wade Meckler scores.5–2
9Angels challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Bryce Harper doubles (27) on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. J.T. Realmuto scores. Derek Hill to 3rd.5–1
8Brandon Marsh singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Trea Turner scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.4–1
8Luis Arraez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Wade Meckler. Kyle Schwarber scores.3–1
7Edmundo Sosa homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
3J.T. Realmuto homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Moisés Ballesteros grounds into a double play, pitcher Zack Wheeler to shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Alec Bohm. Wade Meckler scores. Mike Trout to 3rd. Vaughn Grissom out at 2nd. Moisés Ballesteros out at 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.