Phillies at Angels
Last play · Mike Trout flies out to right fielder Derek Hill.
Win probability
Angels0%
PHI 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 0 LAA
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-161 / +150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Neto homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 8) — +32% Angels
10Wade Meckler grounds into a force out, first baseman Alec Bohm to shortstop Trea Turner. Denzer Guzman scores. Moisés Ballesteros out at 2nd. Wade Meckler to 1st.4–2
10Trea Turner singles on a soft ground ball to right fielder Wade Meckler. Justin Crawford scores. Garrett Stubbs scores.4–1
10Kyle Schwarber doubles (17) on a fly ball to left fielder Jose Siri, deflected by center fielder Mike Trout. J.T. Realmuto scores. Justin Crawford to 3rd.2–1
8Zach Neto homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Alec Bohm scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
