Yankees at Angels
Last play · Adam Frazier lines out to right fielder Spencer Jones.
Win probability
Angels0%
NYY 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 4 – 1 LAA
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-161 / +133
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Moore triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Spencer Jones. Wade Meckler scores. Moisés Ballesteros scores. (inning 6) — +28% Angels
9Spencer Jones singles on a line drive to left fielder Jose Siri. Cody Bellinger scores. Luis García Jr. to 2nd.7–3
8Paul Goldschmidt out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jose Siri. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.6–3
8Trent Grisham singles on a line drive to left fielder Jose Siri. Spencer Jones scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd.5–3
6Christian Moore triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Spencer Jones. Wade Meckler scores. Moisés Ballesteros scores.4–3
3Wade Meckler singles on a ground ball to right fielder Spencer Jones. Zach Neto scores. Wade Meckler out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Spencer Jones to first baseman Luis García Jr. to shortstop José Caballero.4–1
3Luis García Jr. grounds into a double play, first baseman Vaughn Grissom to shortstop Zach Neto to first baseman Vaughn Grissom. Ben Rice scores. Cody Bellinger out at 2nd. Luis García Jr. out at 1st.4–0
1Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (19) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
1Spencer Jones homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Cody Bellinger scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
