Yankees at Angels
Last play · Trent Grisham strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels100%
NYY 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 6 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-192 / +157
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mike Trout singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Tyler Heineman scores. Zach Neto scores. (inning 4) — +13% Angels
8Christian Moore singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Vaughn Grissom scores.1–10
8Vaughn Grissom doubles (20) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Mike Trout scores. Jose Siri scores.1–9
6Vaughn Grissom reaches on a fielder's choice. Zach Neto scores. Fielding error by shortstop José Caballero. Throwing error by shortstop José Caballero.1–7
5Josh Lowe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger.1–6
5Christian Moore doubles (2) on a fly ball to shortstop José Caballero, deflected by right fielder Spencer Jones. Vaughn Grissom scores.1–5
5Spencer Jones homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
4Mike Trout singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Tyler Heineman scores. Zach Neto scores.0–4
4Zach Neto singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Oswald Peraza scores. Tyler Heineman to 3rd. Zach Neto to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
