Rangers at Dodgers
Last play · Danny Jansen strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
TEX 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 5 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+118 / -143
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Teoscar Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Will Smith scores. Freddie Freeman scores. (inning 1) — +24% Dodgers
8Andy Pages singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Haggerty. Teoscar Hernández scores.3–6
6Brandon Nimmo homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Jung scores.3–5
3Teoscar Hernández grounds into a double play, shortstop Corey Seager to second baseman Josh Smith to first baseman Jake Burger. Will Smith scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd. Max Muncy out at 2nd. Teoscar Hernández out at 1st.1–5
1Teoscar Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Will Smith scores. Freddie Freeman scores.1–4
1Shohei Ohtani homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Brandon Nimmo homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
