Rangers at Dodgers
Last play · Kyle Tucker flies out to center fielder Evan Carter.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
TEX 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 1 LAD
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+118 / -143
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Dalton Rushing scores. Miguel Rojas to 3rd. (inning 7) — +16% Dodgers
8Will Klein intentionally walks Corey Seager.5–2
8Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Andy Pages. Josh Jung scores. Ezequiel Duran to 3rd.4–2
7Kyle Tucker singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Dalton Rushing scores. Miguel Rojas to 3rd.3–2
6Brandon Nimmo grounds out, first baseman Freddie Freeman to pitcher Jack Dreyer. Josh Jung scores. Ezequiel Duran to 2nd.3–1
3Josh Smith singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Joc Pederson scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd.2–1
3Evan Carter homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Shohei Ohtani homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
