Mets at Dodgers
Last play · Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
NYM 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 1 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+159 / -194
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker singles on a soft fly ball to left fielder Carson Benge. Miguel Rojas scores. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Dodgers
8Kyle Tucker singles on a soft fly ball to left fielder Carson Benge. Miguel Rojas scores. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd.1–2
1Freddie Freeman grounds out to first baseman Mark Vientos. Kyle Tucker scores.1–1
1Francisco Lindor homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
