Marlins at Dodgers
Last play · Kyle Tucker singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Dalton Rushing scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman to 2nd.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
MIA 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 4 – 2 LAD
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+224 / -280
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Dalton Rushing scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman to 2nd. (inning 9) — +55% Dodgers
9Kyle Tucker singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Dalton Rushing scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman to 2nd.4–5
9Shohei Ohtani hits a ground-rule double (6) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Andy Pages scores. Dalton Rushing to 3rd.4–3
5Liam Hicks homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Jakob Marsee scores. Xavier Edwards scores.4–2
4Javier Sanoja reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Hyeseong Kim. Otto Lopez scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd. Agustín Ramírez to 2nd.1–2
1Teoscar Hernández singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
