Braves at Dodgers
Last play · Umpire reviewed (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Hyeseong Kim grounds out, first baseman Matt Olson to pitcher Reynaldo López.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
ATL 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 6 – 0 LAD
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+119 / -143
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Eli White scores. Jorge Mateo scores. Drake Baldwin to 2nd. (inning 2) — -18% Braves
9Andy Pages homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Alex Call scores.7–2
8Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alex Call. Jorge Mateo scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd.7–0
5Michael Harris II doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Austin Riley scores.6–0
2Matt Olson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Drake Baldwin scores. Ozzie Albies scores.5–0
2Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Eli White scores. Jorge Mateo scores. Drake Baldwin to 2nd.3–0
1Austin Riley grounds into a force out, shortstop Hyeseong Kim to second baseman Alex Freeland. Mauricio Dubón scores. Drake Baldwin to 3rd. Ozzie Albies out at 2nd. Austin Riley to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
