Giants at Dodgers
Last play · Mookie Betts flies out to left fielder Drew Gilbert.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
SF 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 2 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+273 / -349
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Heliot Ramos doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Casey Schmitt scores. Rafael Devers scores. (inning 6) — -31% Giants
9Jesus Rodriguez grounds out, second baseman Miguel Rojas to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Heliot Ramos scores. Willy Adames to 3rd. Matt Chapman to 2nd.9–3
9Matt Chapman walks. Rafael Devers scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd. Willy Adames to 2nd.8–3
9Willy Adames singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Casey Schmitt scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd. Heliot Ramos to 2nd.7–3
7Willy Adames singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Luis Arraez scores. Casey Schmitt scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.6–3
7Rafael Devers walks. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Casey Schmitt to 2nd.4–3
6Max Muncy homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
6Heliot Ramos doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Casey Schmitt scores. Rafael Devers scores.3–2
4Andy Pages grounds into a double play, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Casey Schmitt. Kyle Tucker scores. Will Smith to 3rd. Max Muncy out at 2nd. Andy Pages out at 1st.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
