Giants at Dodgers
Last play · Matt Chapman called out on strikes.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
SF 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 4 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+153 / -186
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Santiago Espinal homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — +15% Dodgers
4Alex Call out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee in foul territory. Teoscar Hernández scores.0–4
4Teoscar Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Kyle Tucker scores.0–3
3Mookie Betts homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
3Santiago Espinal homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
