Rockies at Dodgers
COL6–
LAD15Last play · Brett Sullivan flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
COL 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 10 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+343 / -454
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Enrique Hernández homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 3) — +18% Dodgers
9Sterlin Thompson singles on a fly ball to left fielder Alex Call. Troy Johnston scores.6–15
9Kyle Karros homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Braxton Fulford scores. Jake McCarthy scores.5–15
9Brett Sullivan homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.2–15
6Will Smith homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Tucker scores.1–15
6Mookie Betts homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Andy Pages scores. Freddie Freeman scores.1–13
5Hyeseong Kim out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Will Smith scores.1–10
5Miguel Rojas doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Troy Johnston. Teoscar Hernández scores. Will Smith to 3rd.1–9
4Freddie Freeman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Andy Pages scores.1–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.