Rockies at Dodgers
Last play · Braxton Fulford strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
COL 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 1 LAD
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+197 / -244
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ezequiel Tovar homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 7) — -23% Rockies
7Andy Pages singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Freddie Freeman scores.3–5
7Freddie Freeman doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Shohei Ohtani scores.3–4
7Mookie Betts out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Troy Johnston. Hyeseong Kim scores. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd.3–3
7Dodgers challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Shohei Ohtani grounds into a force out, second baseman Willi Castro to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Will Smith scores. Hyeseong Kim to 3rd. Miguel Rojas out at 2nd. Shohei Ohtani to 1st.3–2
7Ezequiel Tovar homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
4Ezequiel Tovar out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Troy Johnston scores.2–1
4Willi Castro singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Tyler Freeman scores. Troy Johnston to 3rd.1–1
3Enrique Hernández doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Troy Johnston. Hyeseong Kim scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
