Angels at Dodgers
Last play · Freddie Freeman homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
LAA 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 0 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+290 / -374
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Freddie Freeman homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 9) — +23% Dodgers
9Freddie Freeman homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
