Angels at Dodgers
Last play · Wade Meckler lines out to shortstop Mookie Betts.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
LAA 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 9 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+214 / -266
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Shohei Ohtani scores. (inning 1) — +22% Dodgers
9Zach Neto homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.2–9
1Shohei Ohtani homers (11) on a line drive to center field. Alex Freeland scores.1–9
1Alex Freeland reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Zach Neto. Max Muncy scores. Ryan Ward scores. Dalton Rushing scores. Alex Freeland to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Zach Neto.1–7
1Ryan Ward doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Freddie Freeman scores. Mookie Betts scores. Max Muncy to 3rd.1–4
1Andy Pages homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Shohei Ohtani scores.1–2
1Oswald Peraza triples (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Wade Meckler scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
