Rays at Dodgers
Last play · Jonathan Aranda flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
TB 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 0 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -157
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shohei Ohtani homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — +26% Dodgers
6Shohei Ohtani homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
