Orioles at Dodgers
Last play · Kyle Tucker strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
BAL 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 0 LAD
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+194 / -240
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Blaze Alexander doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Call, deflected by third baseman Tommy Edman. Leody Taveras scores. Colton Cowser scores. Coby Mayo to 3rd. (inning 4) — -21% Orioles
9Tommy Edman reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Leody Taveras. Freddie Freeman scores. Mookie Betts to 3rd.3–2
9Shohei Ohtani homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
4Blaze Alexander doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Call, deflected by third baseman Tommy Edman. Leody Taveras scores. Colton Cowser scores. Coby Mayo to 3rd.3–0
2Coby Mayo grounds into a force out, first baseman Freddie Freeman to shortstop Mookie Betts. Leody Taveras scores. Colton Cowser out at 2nd. Coby Mayo to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
