Orioles at Dodgers
Last play · Dalton Rushing singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Alex Call scores. Ryan Ward scores. Throwing error by right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
BAL 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 3 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+230 / -288
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dalton Rushing singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Alex Call scores. Ryan Ward scores. Throwing error by right fielder Tyler O'Neill. (inning 9) — +55% Dodgers
9Dalton Rushing singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Alex Call scores. Ryan Ward scores. Throwing error by right fielder Tyler O'Neill.5–6
9Mookie Betts homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.5–4
7Jeremiah Jackson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Colton Cowser scores. Coby Mayo scores. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.5–3
6Pete Alonso homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
6Gunnar Henderson homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Holliday scores.2–3
2Orioles challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Andy Pages doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jeremiah Jackson. Alex Freeland scores.0–3
1Max Muncy singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Leody Taveras. Kyle Tucker scores. Mookie Betts scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
