Last play · Dalton Rushing singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Teoscar Hernández scores. Max Muncy to 3rd.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
COL 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
COL 2 – 6 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9 ↑
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+257 / -326
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dodgers challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Rockies challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Cole Carrigg doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Willi Castro scores. Brett Sullivan scores. Hunter Goodman out at home on the throw, center fielder Andy Pages to second baseman Miguel Rojas to catcher Dalton Rushing. (inning 9) — -44% Rockies
11Dalton Rushing singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Teoscar Hernández scores. Max Muncy to 3rd.7–8
10Mookie Betts reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Edouard Julien. Andy Pages scores.7–7
10Jake McCarthy grounds out to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Cole Carrigg scores.7–6
9Dodgers challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Rockies challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Cole Carrigg doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Willi Castro scores. Brett Sullivan scores. Hunter Goodman out at home on the throw, center fielder Andy Pages to second baseman Miguel Rojas to catcher Dalton Rushing.6–6
9Kyle Karros doubles (17) on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Willi Castro to 3rd.4–6
6Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Cole Carrigg scores.3–6
5Ezequiel Tovar homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.2–6
4Shohei Ohtani singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Max Muncy scores. Dalton Rushing scores.1–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
COL7–
LAD8