Red Sox at Dodgers
Last play · Alex Call flies out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
BOS 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 2 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+153 / -186
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Wong grounds into a double play, shortstop Mookie Betts to second baseman Tommy Edman to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Andruw Monasterio scores. Jarren Duran out at 2nd. Connor Wong out at 1st. (inning 8) — -26% Red Sox
8Connor Wong grounds into a double play, shortstop Mookie Betts to second baseman Tommy Edman to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Andruw Monasterio scores. Jarren Duran out at 2nd. Connor Wong out at 1st.3–2
3Ceddanne Rafaela homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
2Teoscar Hernández homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Freddie Freeman scores.1–2
1Ceddanne Rafaela homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
