Royals at Dodgers
Last play · Max Muncy singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
KC 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 1 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+201 / -217
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mookie Betts singles on a line drive to right fielder John Rave. Kyle Tucker scores. Max Muncy to 3rd. (inning 8) — +32% Dodgers
10Max Muncy singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Shohei Ohtani scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.4–5
8Mookie Betts singles on a line drive to right fielder John Rave. Kyle Tucker scores. Max Muncy to 3rd.4–4
8Carter Jensen lines out sharply to center fielder Andy Pages. Jac Caglianone scores. Fielding error by center fielder Andy Pages.4–3
8Salvador Perez singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Alex Call. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Jac Caglianone to 2nd.3–3
8Jac Caglianone singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Alex Call. Nick Loftin scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd.2–3
7Teoscar Hernández doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tyler Tolbert. Alex Call scores.1–3
7Alex Call doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder John Rave. Mookie Betts scores.1–2
4Salvador Perez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Call. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
