Brewers at Dodgers
Last play · Kyle Tucker flies out to right fielder Luis Lara.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
MIL 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 1 LAD
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+161 / -173
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Muncy homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Tommy Edman scores. Freddie Freeman scores. (inning 6) — +46% Dodgers
9Jake Bauers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Jackson Chourio scores. Garrett Mitchell to 3rd.5–4
9Garrett Mitchell singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. David Hamilton scores. Jackson Chourio to 2nd.4–4
9Jackson Chourio singles on a fly ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Joey Ortiz scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.3–4
6Max Muncy homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Tommy Edman scores. Freddie Freeman scores.2–4
5Ben Rortvedt singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Miguel Rojas scores.2–1
4David Hamilton walks. Andrew Vaughn scores. Christian Yelich to 3rd. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.2–0
4Joey Ortiz walks. Gary Sánchez scores. Andrew Vaughn to 3rd. Christian Yelich to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
