Brewers at Dodgers
Last play · Joey Ortiz grounds out, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Enrique Hernández.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
MIL 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 2 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-122 / +114
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 5) — +15% Dodgers
6Tommy Edman homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
5Andy Pages homers (20) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
5Joey Ortiz out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Luis Lara scores.1–1
1Mookie Betts singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Andy Pages scores. Teoscar Hernández to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
