Pirates at Dodgers
Last play · Tommy Edman singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Enrique Hernández scores. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
PIT 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 4 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+234 / -254
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Bryan Reynolds scores. (inning 8) — -34% Pirates
10Tommy Edman singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Enrique Hernández scores. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.4–5
8Oneil Cruz homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Bryan Reynolds scores.4–4
3Mookie Betts singles on a ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Hunter Feduccia scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Andy Pages to 2nd.2–4
3Nick Gonzales singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Brandon Lowe scores.2–2
1Max Muncy homers (26) on a fly ball to right field. Shohei Ohtani scores.1–2
1Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
