White Sox at Marlins
Last play · Tristan Peters strikes out swinging, catcher Agustín Ramírez to first baseman Liam Hicks.
Win probability
Marlins100%
CWS 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 2 – 4 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+129 / -156
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Marlins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Liam Hicks doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Tristan Peters. Xavier Edwards scores. Agustín Ramírez scores. (inning 4) — +27% Marlins
8Griffin Conine homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Otto Lopez scores.2–9
8Owen Caissie out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Hays. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.2–7
7Jakob Marsee out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tristan Peters. Griffin Conine scores.2–6
7Graham Pauley out on a sacrifice bunt. Heriberto Hernández scores. Graham Pauley to 1st. Fielding error by catcher Edgar Quero.2–5
4Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to center fielder Luisangel Acuña. Owen Caissie scores. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd. Heriberto Hernández advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Luisangel Acuña.2–4
4Owen Caissie singles on a line drive to center fielder Luisangel Acuña. Liam Hicks scores. Owen Caissie to 2nd. Owen Caissie advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Luisangel Acuña.2–3
4Liam Hicks doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Tristan Peters. Xavier Edwards scores. Agustín Ramírez scores.2–2
3Andrew Benintendi singles on a line drive to right fielder Griffin Conine. Luisangel Acuña scores. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
