Cardinals at Marlins

Scoreboard

STL5–MIA3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · STL 14-9 · MIA 11-13

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	5	10	1
MIA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	8	0

Last play · Xavier Edwards lines out to left fielder Nathan Church.

Win probability

Marlins0%

STL 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 5 – 1 MIA

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+102 / -122

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nathan Church homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 4) — -21% Cardinals

Scoring plays

STL–MIA · 6 total

8Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Xavier Edwards scores. Liam Hicks scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.5–3

5Nolan Gorman singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Alec Burleson scores.5–1

4Nathan Church homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.4–1

3Alec Burleson reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Connor Norby. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.2–1

1Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jakob Marsee homers (1) on a line drive to right field.1–1

1Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.