Cardinals at Marlins

Scoreboard

STL1–MIA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · STL 14-10 · MIA 12-13

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	1
MIA	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	·	4	12	1

Last play · Nathan Church strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Marlins100%

STL 0%MIA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 0 – 4 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+129 / -156

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Owen Caissie singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Agustín Ramírez scores. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Marlins

Scoring plays

STL–MIA · 5 total

9Iván Herrera homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.1–4

5Agustín Ramírez singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Otto Lopez scores.0–4

4Jakob Marsee singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nathan Church. Leo Jiménez scores. Javier Sanoja out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Nathan Church to third baseman Nolan Gorman.0–3

2Jakob Marsee walks. Heriberto Hernández scores. Owen Caissie to 3rd. Leo Jiménez to 2nd.0–2

2Owen Caissie singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Agustín Ramírez scores. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.