Orioles at Marlins

Scoreboard

BAL7–MIA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · BAL 17-20 · MIA 16-21

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	7	7	0
MIA	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	6	0

Last play · Javier Sanoja strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Marlins0%

BAL 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 5 – 3 MIA

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+109 / -131

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Taylor Ward scores. Adley Rutschman scores. (inning 1) — -28% Orioles

Scoring plays

BAL–MIA · 8 total

8Blaze Alexander triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Owen Caissie. Samuel Basallo scores.7–4

7Xavier Edwards grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso. Otto Lopez scores.6–4

7Adley Rutschman doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Taylor Ward scores.6–3

5Adley Rutschman doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Owen Caissie. Taylor Ward scores.5–3

4Dylan Beavers hits a ground-rule double (4) on a line drive down the right-field line. Leody Taveras scores.4–3

1Owen Caissie singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Jakob Marsee scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd.3–3

1Jakob Marsee doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Connor Norby scores. Kyle Stowers scores.3–2

1Pete Alonso homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Taylor Ward scores. Adley Rutschman scores.3–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.