Orioles at Marlins

Scoreboard

BAL3–MIA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · BAL 17-21 · MIA 17-21

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	9	1
MIA	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	6	0

Last play · Javier Sanoja reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Coby Mayo. Joe Mack scores.

Win probability

Marlins100%

BAL 0%MIA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 2 – 3 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+104 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Taylor Ward scores. Dylan Beavers to 2nd. (inning 8) — -26% Orioles

Scoring plays

BAL–MIA · 6 total

9Javier Sanoja reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Coby Mayo. Joe Mack scores.3–4

8Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Taylor Ward scores. Dylan Beavers to 2nd.3–3

4Tyler O'Neill singles on a line drive to right fielder Esteury Ruiz. Samuel Basallo scores.2–3

3Connor Norby singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Javier Sanoja scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.1–3

3Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Coby Mayo scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 3rd. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.1–2

1Liam Hicks homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Connor Norby scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.