Braves at Marlins

Scoreboard

ATL0–MIA12

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · ATL 32-16 · MIA 22-26

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1
MIA	0	1	0	5	6	0	0	0	·	12	9	0

Last play · Mauricio Dubón flies out to right fielder Owen Caissie.

Win probability

Marlins100%

ATL 0%MIA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

ATL 0 – 12 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 49% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -114

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓

Biggest swing · Joe Mack singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski, deflected by second baseman Ozzie Albies. Kyle Stowers scores. Jakob Marsee scores. Connor Norby to 3rd. (inning 4) — +17% Marlins

Scoring plays

ATL–MIA · 7 total

5Xavier Edwards homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.0–12

5Javier Sanoja hits a grand slam (1) to left field. Jakob Marsee scores. Connor Norby scores. Joe Mack scores.0–11

5Joe Mack walks. Kyle Stowers scores. Jakob Marsee to 3rd. Connor Norby to 2nd.0–7

4Liam Hicks doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II, deflected by right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Joe Mack scores. Xavier Edwards scores.0–6

4Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ha-Seong Kim. Connor Norby scores. Joe Mack to 2nd.0–4

4Joe Mack singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski, deflected by second baseman Ozzie Albies. Kyle Stowers scores. Jakob Marsee scores. Connor Norby to 3rd.0–3

2Joe Mack grounds out sharply, first baseman Matt Olson to second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson. Jakob Marsee scores. Connor Norby to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.