Braves at Marlins

Scoreboard

ATL9–MIA1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · ATL 34-16 · MIA 22-28

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ATL	0	3	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	9	11	0
MIA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	1

Last play · Connor Norby pops out to third baseman Austin Riley in foul territory.

Win probability

Marlins0%

ATL 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

ATL 3 – 1 MIA

Braves led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7.5 ↓

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-186 / +153

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓

Biggest swing · Austin Riley homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Ozzie Albies scores. Mauricio Dubón scores. (inning 2) — -34% Braves

Scoring plays

ATL–MIA · 6 total

8Dominic Smith triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Esteury Ruiz. Dominic Smith scores. Throwing error by center fielder Esteury Ruiz.9–1

6Dominic Smith homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Matt Olson scores. Ozzie Albies scores.8–1

6Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Michael Harris II scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.5–1

6Matt Olson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Javier Sanoja. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd.4–1

2Austin Riley homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Ozzie Albies scores. Mauricio Dubón scores.3–1

1Heriberto Hernández out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Xavier Edwards scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.