Braves at Marlins

Scoreboard

ATL8–MIA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · ATL 33-16 · MIA 22-27

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ATL	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1	8	10	1
MIA	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	8	0

Last play · Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Marlins0%

ATL 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

ATL 3 – 4 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-143 / +118

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓

Biggest swing · Mauricio Dubón singles on a ground ball to first baseman Christopher Morel. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 3rd. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd. (inning 8) — -26% Braves

Scoring plays

ATL–MIA · 8 total

9Ha-Seong Kim singles on a line drive to center fielder Esteury Ruiz. Austin Riley scores. Chadwick Tromp to 3rd.8–4

8Matt Olson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd.7–4

8Mauricio Dubón singles on a ground ball to first baseman Christopher Morel. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 3rd. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.5–4

6Michael Harris II homers (9) on a line drive to center field.4–4

5Matt Olson doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Stowers. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.3–4

3Esteury Ruiz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Otto Lopez scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd.2–4

1Kyle Stowers doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder José Azócar. Otto Lopez scores. Esteury Ruiz scores.2–3

1Xavier Edwards homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.2–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.