Braves at Marlins

Scoreboard

ATL9–MIA3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · ATL 35-16 · MIA 22-29

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ATL	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	1	9	13	0
MIA	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	6	0

Last play · Heriberto Hernández strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Marlins0%

ATL 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

ATL 5 – 2 MIA

Braves led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-137 / +114

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓

Biggest swing · Michael Harris II homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. (inning 1) — -21% Braves

Scoring plays

ATL–MIA · 8 total

9Michael Harris II homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.9–3

8Mauricio Dubón singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Ozzie Albies scores. Dominic Smith scores. Mauricio Dubón to 2nd.8–3

7Kyle Stowers homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.6–3

6Mike Yastrzemski doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Dominic Smith scores. Mike Yastrzemski out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Jakob Marsee to shortstop Otto Lopez to third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Christopher Morel.6–2

5Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores.5–2

4Kyle Stowers homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2

3Owen Caissie homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1

2Mike Yastrzemski homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.