Mets at Marlins

Scoreboard

NYM1–MIA2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · NYM 22-29 · MIA 23-29

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYM	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0
MIA	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	·	2	5	0

Last play · Bo Bichette flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Win probability

Marlins100%

NYM 0%MIA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

NYM 1 – 2 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-101 / -120

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓

Biggest swing · Owen Caissie grounds out to first baseman Mark Vientos. Esteury Ruiz scores. (inning 2) — +15% Marlins

Scoring plays

NYM–MIA · 3 total

4Owen Caissie singles on a ground ball to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Esteury Ruiz scores.1–2

2Owen Caissie grounds out to first baseman Mark Vientos. Esteury Ruiz scores.1–1

1Juan Soto homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.