Mets at Marlins

Scoreboard

NYM1–MIA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · NYM 22-30 · MIA 24-29

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0
MIA	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	·	4	8	1

Last play · A.J. Ewing grounds out, third baseman Graham Pauley to first baseman Connor Norby.

Win probability

Marlins100%

NYM 0%MIA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

NYM 0 – 4 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-108 / -112

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓

Biggest swing · Owen Caissie doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Jakob Marsee scores. Connor Norby scores. (inning 2) — +20% Marlins

Scoring plays

NYM–MIA · 4 total

9Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Tyrone Taylor scores.1–4

5Liam Hicks homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.0–4

3Liam Hicks homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3

2Owen Caissie doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Jakob Marsee scores. Connor Norby scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.