Rays at Marlins

Scoreboard

TB3–MIA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · TB 37-24 · MIA 30-35

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	1
MIA	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	·	4	10	1

Last play · Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Marlins100%

TB 0%MIA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 0 – 2 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-131 / +109

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Javier Sanoja homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 5) — +22% Marlins

Scoring plays

TB–MIA · 7 total

9Yandy Díaz singles on a line drive to right fielder Esteury Ruiz. Taylor Walls scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd.3–4

9Chandler Simpson walks.2–4

8Yandy Díaz doubles (11) on a fly ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Victor Mesa Jr. scores. Nick Fortes to 3rd.1–4

6Liam Hicks out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Leo Jiménez scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.0–4

6Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Heriberto Hernández scores. Leo Jiménez to 2nd.0–3

5Joe Mack doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Esteury Ruiz scores.0–2

5Javier Sanoja homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.