Rangers at Marlins

Scoreboard

TEX2–MIA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · TEX 38-42 · MIA 42-39

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	0
MIA	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	·	4	6	0

Last play · Brandon Nimmo flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Win probability

Marlins100%

TEX 0%MIA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TEX 1 – 2 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-122 / +101

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Griffin Conine doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 4) — +16% Marlins

Scoring plays

TEX–MIA · 5 total

9Joc Pederson homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.2–4

8Otto Lopez homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Brian Navarreto scores.1–4

5Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Owen Caissie scores. Leo Jiménez to 3rd.1–2

4Griffin Conine doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Otto Lopez scores.1–1

4Wyatt Langford homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.