Padres at Marlins

Scoreboard

SD4–MIA2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · SD 51-53 · MIA 52-52

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	5	1
MIA	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	9	2

Last play · Kyle Stowers strikes out on a foul tip.

Win probability

Marlins0%

SD 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 2 – 2 MIA

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+104 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Luis Rengifo homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Jase Bowen scores. (inning 8) — -39% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–MIA · 5 total

8Luis Rengifo homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Jase Bowen scores.4–2

5Heriberto Hernández homers (14) on a line drive to center field.2–2

5Manny Machado singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Manny Machado to 2nd. Manny Machado advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Heriberto Hernández.2–1

4Jackson Merrill out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Griffin Conine. Manny Machado scores.1–1

2Joe Mack homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.