Padres at Marlins

Scoreboard

SD5–MIA3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · SD 53-53 · MIA 52-54

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	5	13	1
MIA	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	0

Last play · Joe Mack strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Marlins0%

SD 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 1 – 3 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-104 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Manny Machado homers (23) on a line drive to center field. Jake Cronenworth scores. (inning 8) — -34% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–MIA · 7 total

8Luis Campusano singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Luis Rengifo scores.5–3

8Jackson Merrill homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.4–3

8Manny Machado homers (23) on a line drive to center field. Jake Cronenworth scores.3–3

5Manny Machado doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Jake Cronenworth scores.1–3

3Kyle Stowers homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.0–3

2Graham Pauley singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Griffin Conine scores.0–2

2Esteury Ruiz out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Walker Buehler to first baseman Ty France. Griffin Conine to 3rd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.