Pirates at Marlins

Scoreboard

PIT2–MIA8

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · PIT 58-64 · MIA 62-59

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0
MIA	0	1	4	1	0	2	0	0	·	8	9	1

Last play · Esmerlyn Valdez grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Leo Jiménez.

Win probability

Marlins100%

PIT 0%MIA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 6 MIA

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+108 / -116

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jacob Gonzalez grounds into a force out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to shortstop Otto Lopez. Nick Gonzales scores. Esmerlyn Valdez out at 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Otto Lopez. (inning 2) — -15% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–MIA · 8 total

6Heriberto Hernández homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Griffin Conine scores.2–8

4Griffin Conine homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.2–6

4Esmerlyn Valdez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Nick Gonzales scores.2–5

3Xavier Edwards out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Javier Sanoja scores. Leo Jiménez to 3rd.1–5

3Joe Mack walks. Agustín Ramírez scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd. Leo Jiménez to 2nd.1–4

3Leo Jiménez hit by pitch. Heriberto Hernández scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd. Javier Sanoja to 2nd.1–3

3Agustín Ramírez doubles (6) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Griffin Conine scores. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd.1–2

2Xavier Edwards singles on a sharp ground ball to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Jakob Marsee scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd. Joe Mack to 2nd.1–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.