Pirates at Marlins

Scoreboard

PIT13–MIA1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · PIT 59-64 · MIA 62-60

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	3	5	13	16	1
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0

Last play · Jakob Marsee lines out sharply to center fielder Jake Mangum.

Win probability

Marlins0%

PIT 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 0 MIA

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 49.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-117 / +109

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jared Triolo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — -28% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–MIA · 7 total

9Owen Caissie homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.13–1

9Rafael Flores Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Mangum scores. Jared Triolo scores.13–0

9Jacob Gonzalez homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Esmerlyn Valdez scores.10–0

8Rafael Flores Jr. homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Mangum scores. Jared Triolo scores.8–0

6Jared Triolo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Esteury Ruiz. Esmerlyn Valdez scores. Jacob Gonzalez scores. Jake Mangum to 2nd.5–0

6Jake Mangum hit by pitch. Nick Gonzales scores. Esmerlyn Valdez to 3rd. Jacob Gonzalez to 2nd.3–0

5Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jared Triolo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.