Mets at Marlins

Scoreboard

NYM7–MIA5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · NYM 67-78 · MIA 72-74

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYM	2	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	7	8	2
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	5	10	0

Last play · Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Marlins0%

NYM 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

NYM 7 – 0 MIA

Mets led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓

Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Francisco Alvarez scores. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 2) — -18% Mets

Scoring plays

NYM–MIA · 8 total

9Jakob Marsee doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. Joe Mack scores.7–5

6Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Otto Lopez scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd. Javier Sanoja advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by center fielder A.J. Ewing.7–4

6Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. Brian Navarreto scores. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd.7–3

6Brian Navarreto doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. Jared Serna scores.7–2

6Jared Serna doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Jakob Marsee scores.7–1

5Brett Baty out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Jared Young scores.7–0

3Brett Baty homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.6–0

2Juan Soto homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Francisco Alvarez scores. Francisco Lindor scores.5–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.