Nationals at Brewers
Last play · Joey Ortiz grounds out, pitcher Clayton Beeter to first baseman Curtis Mead.
Win probability
Brewers0%
WSH 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 0 MIL
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+149 / -181
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · James Wood doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Jacob Young scores. Nasim Nuñez scores. (inning 5) — -28% Nationals
9William Contreras homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
9Keibert Ruiz doubles (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Nasim Nuñez scores.3–0
5James Wood doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Jacob Young scores. Nasim Nuñez scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
