Nationals at Brewers
Last play · William Contreras flies out to right fielder James Wood in foul territory.
Win probability
Brewers0%
WSH 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+179 / -219
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gary Sánchez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras scores. (inning 7) — +49% Brewers
8Keibert Ruiz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. CJ Abrams scores. Jacob Young scores. Keibert Ruiz to 2nd.8–6
7Gary Sánchez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras scores.6–6
7Brady House singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Curtis Mead scores.6–3
7Curtis Mead singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. José Tena scores. James Wood to 3rd.4–3
7José Tena singles on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Jacob Young scores.3–3
5Brice Turang homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
4Jake Bauers homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
4CJ Abrams out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Luis García Jr. scores. Daylen Lile to 3rd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
