Blue Jays at Brewers
Last play · Andrés Giménez lines out to left fielder Brandon Lockridge.
Win probability
Brewers100%
TOR 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 0 MIL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras singles on a ground ball to right fielder Myles Straw. David Hamilton scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd. (inning 8) — +32% Brewers
8Brice Turang grounds out softly, second baseman Lenyn Sosa to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Sal Frelick scores. William Contreras to 2nd.1–2
8William Contreras singles on a ground ball to right fielder Myles Straw. David Hamilton scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd.1–1
1Jesús Sánchez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Daulton Varsho scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
