Blue Jays at Brewers
Last play · Gary Sánchez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers0%
TOR 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7 ↑
fair over 47.3% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+102 / -122
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lockridge doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider. Brice Turang scores. Jake Bauers to 3rd. (inning 9) — +42% Brewers
10William Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider, deflected by third baseman Kazuma Okamoto. Joey Ortiz scores.9–7
10Myles Straw doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Jesús Sánchez scores.9–6
10Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Ernie Clement scores.7–6
9Brandon Lockridge doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider. Brice Turang scores. Jake Bauers to 3rd.6–6
9Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider. Sal Frelick scores.6–5
9Ernie Clement singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Kazuma Okamoto scores. Ernie Clement out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Brandon Lockridge to catcher William Contreras to second baseman Brice Turang.6–4
9Andrés Giménez grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Jake Bauers. Davis Schneider scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 2nd.5–4
9Kazuma Okamoto singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Myles Straw scores. Davis Schneider to 3rd.4–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
